Free practice / Secondary 4 E Maths
Sec 4 E Maths: Probability, practice questions & worked solutions
Probability questions selected from 2024 and 2025 Singapore school E Maths prelim papers, each with the school’s full worked solution.
About this topic & key methods
Probability in Sec 3 and Sec 4 E Maths covers single events, possibility diagrams, and combined events with and without replacement, usually set out on a tree diagram. Eight of the questions here are short Paper 1 items; the two Paper 2 questions follow events across several days.
Attempt each question on paper before opening its worked solution. The solutions are the schools’ own marking schemes, so some steps are brief.
Key methods for probability
- , and
- Expected number of times
- Possibility diagram: list every equally likely outcome in a grid, then count
- Tree diagrams: multiply along a branch, add the branches you need
- Without replacement, both the numerator and the total drop by one on the next draw
- At least one: work out
- When an unknown appears, set the probability expression equal to the given value and solve, rejecting impossible roots
For lessons that build these methods week by week, see our E Maths tuition for Sec 3 and Sec 4.
Probability questions with worked solutions
Unless the question specifies otherwise, give non-exact answers to 3 significant figures and angles in degrees to 1 decimal place.
Complementary events and expected frequency, St Joseph’s Institution, 2025 Prelim P1 Q4
Jane either walks or cycles to school.
The probability that she cycles to school is .
Write down the probability that Jane walks to school. [1]
There are 190 days in a school year.
Find the number of days Jane is likely to walk to school in a school year. [1]
Show worked solution▾
(a)
(b)
Answer:
Sum of probabilities and changing the contents of a bag, Naval Base Secondary School, 2024 Prelim P1 Q14
A bag contains black, blue and yellow balls.
A ball is picked at random from the bag.The probability that the ball is blue is .
The probability that the ball is yellow is .
Find the probability that the ball is black. [1]
Another bag contains 10 red balls, 7 white balls and 8 blue balls.
A further white balls are added to the bag.
The probability of picking a white ball is now .
Find the value of . [2]
Show worked solution▾
(a)
(b)
OR
OR
Answer: (a) (b)
Two draws without replacement, Dunman Secondary School, 2025 Prelim P1 Q21
A fridge contains 5 bottles of pineapple juice and 4 bottles of orange juice.
John takes a bottle, selected at random, from the fridge and drinks it.
Peter then takes a bottle, selected at random, from the fridge.
Find, as a fraction in its simplest form, the probability that
Peter chooses orange juice, [2]
one of them chooses pineapple juice and the other chooses orange juice. [2]
Show worked solution▾
(a)
(b)
Answer:
Probability of at least one using the complement, Orchid Park Secondary School, 2024 Prelim P1 Q8
A carton contains 17 good apples and 3 rotten apples. A fruit seller picks three apples in random from the carton and puts them into a smaller box for sale.
Find the probability that there is at least 1 rotten apple in the box for sale. [2]
When Student A is asked to find the probability that the box contains two good apples and one rotten apple, he claims that the answer is .
Do you agree with the Student A's claim? Explain your answer. [2]
Show worked solution▾
(a)
Probability of all good apple
Probability of at least 1 bad
(b)
No. refers to the probability of (Good, Good, Bad).
It can also be (Good, Bad, Good) or (Bad, Good, Good).
Probability should be
Answer: (a) or (b) disagree: the rotten apple can be first, second or third, so the probability is
Possibility diagram for the sum of two numbers, Presbyterian High School, 2025 Prelim P1 Q22
Box contains 4 balls numbered 1, 2, 3 and 4.
Box contains another 4 balls numbered 1, 3, 5 and 6.
In a game, May drew a ball at random from each box, and the sum of both numbers is obtained.
Complete the possibility diagram below.

[2]
Find the probability that the sum obtained is 6. [1]
Box contains 4 balls numbered 10, 20, 30 and 40. Albert drew a ball at random from each of the boxes , and , and the sum of all three numbers is obtained.
Find the probability that the sum obtained is more than 30 but less than 36. [2]
Show worked solution▾
(a)

(b)
(c)
Answer: (b) (c)
Independent events on different days, Catholic High School, 2025 Prelim P2 Q1
Every evening Juline and Evangeline play a game of tic-tac-toe. When they play against each other, Juline has a chance of winning and Evangeline has a chance of winning. Find, as a fraction in its simplest form, the probability that
Juline will win on both Monday and Tuesday next week. [1]
Juline will win on either Wednesday or Thursday next week but not on both days. [2]
it will be a draw on Friday next week. [2]
Show worked solution▾
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
Answer: (i) (ii) (iii)
Tree diagram for coins drawn without replacement, Bukit View Secondary School, 2024 Prelim P1 Q23
Mdm Chng has six $1 coins and eight 50 cents coins in her purse.
She takes the coins out of her purse, at random, one after the other, without replacement.
The probability tree diagram below shows the possible outcomes and their probabilities.

Complete the probability tree diagram. [2]
Find the probability that the total value of the two coins taken out is $1.50. [2]
Mdm Chng took a third coin out.
Find the probability that the total sum of the three coins taken out is $2. [2]
Show worked solution▾
(i)

(ii)
P($1 and 50 cents or 50 cents and $1)
(iii)
P($1 and 50 cents and 50 cents or 50 cents and $1 and 50 cents or 50 cents and 50 cents and $1)
Answer: (ii) (iii)
Tree diagram and selecting at least one of each, Anglo-Chinese School (Barker Road), 2024 Prelim P1 Q25
There are 12 boys and 13 girls in a class.
Two of the children are selected at random to participate in a forum.
Draw a tree diagram below to show the probabilities of the possible outcomes. [2]
Find, as a fraction in its simplest form, the probability that
two boys are selected, [1]
one boy and one girl are selected. [2]
As a standby, a third student is selected.
Find the probability that out of the three students, there will be at least one boy and one girl selected. [2]
Show worked solution▾
(a)

(b)(i)
(b)(ii)
(c)
or
Answer: (b)(i) (ii) (c)
Forming a quadratic from a probability without replacement, Nan Chiau High School, 2024 Prelim P1 Q16
A bag contains 8 blue marbles, 5 green marbles and yellow marbles.
The marbles are drawn one after the other from the bag, at random, without replacement.
The probability that two blue marbles are drawn is . Calculate the value of . [3]
The two marbles drawn in part (a) are returned into the bag.
Hence, calculate the probability that only the second marble is green when three marbles are drawn from the bag. [2]
Show worked solution▾
(a)
(b)
P(second marble is green when three marbles are drawn)
Answer: (a) (b)
Dependent events on consecutive days, Crescent Girls’ School, 2025 Prelim P2 Q2
A company conducted a survey in a girl’s school and found that a user’s likelihood of logging into a particular app each day depends on whether she logged in the previous day.
If the user logs in on a particular day, the probability that she logs in again the following day is 0.7.
If the user does not log in on a particular day, the probability that she continues not logging in the next day is 0.8.
It is given that Emily logs in on Monday.
Find the probability that Emily logs in on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. [2]
Find the probability that Emily does not log in on Wednesday. [2]
Each time the user logs in, she will earn 10 reward points.
If the user does not log in, no reward points will be given.
Find the probability that Emily earns exactly 20 points by Wednesday. [2]
Find the probability that Emily earns more than 10 points by Wednesday. [2]
Show worked solution▾
(a)
(b)
(c)(i)
(c)(ii)
or
Answer: (a) (b) (c)(i) (ii)